Today's announcements and data releases, 8/4/2019

  • Regular
  • Economic Calender
  • 9 months ago
  • 107

All times in GMT+7, Jakarta, Bangkok



JPY Consumer Confidence Index (MAR)



JPY Eco Watchers Survey Current (MAR)



JPY Eco Watchers Survey Outlook SA (MAR)



EUR German Trade Balance (FEB)



EUR German Current Account (euros) (FEB)

The German Current Account acts as a gauge for how Germany's economy interacts with the rest of the world. Current account is one of the three components (Financial Account, Capital Account and Current Account) that make up a country's Balance of Payments, the detailed accounting of all international interactions. Where the other side of the Balance of Payments, Capital and Financial Accounts, deals mainly with financial assets and investments, the Current Account gives a detailed breakdown of how the country intermingles with rest of the global economy on a routine, non-investment basis. The Current Account tracks the trade balance (exports and imports for goods and services), income payments (such as interest, dividends and salaries) and unilateral transfers (aid, taxes, and one-way gifts). A positive value (current account surplus) records that the flow of capital from these components into Germany exceeds the capital leaving the country. A negative value (current account deficit) means that there is a net capital outflow from these sources. Since the German economy is by far the largest in the EU, German Current Account has significant weight on the Euro. Persistent Current Account surpluses may lead to a natural appreciation of a currency, as trade, income and transfer payments usually reflect Euros coming into the country (just as underlying deficit act as depreciating weight). There are a number of factors that often work to diminish the impact of the Current Account release on the market. The report is not very timely, released monthly about two weeks after the reporting period. In addition, many of the components that lead to the final Current Account, such as production and trade figures, are known well in advance. Lastly, since the report reflect data for a specific reporting month, any significant developments in the Current Account should plausibly have been already felt during that month and not during the release of data. But due to the significance of German Current Account in tracking foreign exchange developments, the report has a history of moving markets upon release. The headline number is the Current Account balance and the percentage change in the Current Account from the previous month.



EUR German Exports s.a. (MoM) (FEB)

Goods and services produced domestically that are sold or awaiting sale outside of Germany . The headline number is the percentage change in the Exports value. The value of Exports is an important input in calculations of the Trade Balance, the Current Account and GDP. Exports are rarely considered in isolation. Rather, they are most often analyzed in comparison to Imports. Generally, excess exports indicate a country's goods are seen as desirable abroad, which signals that this country's currency is relatively weak (cheap) compared to that of its trading partners and may appreciate in the future due to robust demand.



EUR German Imports s.a. (MoM) (FEB)

Represents German domestic demand for foreign goods. The headline number is the percentage change in the value of imports. The value of imports is an important input in calculations of the Trade Balance, the Current Account and GDP. Imports are rarely considered in isolation. Rather, they are most often analyzed in comparison to Exports. German imports (and exports) are separated by intra-community trade and extra-community trade. Intra-community trade covers trade within the EU member countries while Extra-community trade covers trades with the rest of the world. A strong demand for imports from the Extra-community could lead to a trade deficit that could result in a drop in the currency's value. Note: The import report aggregates the Intra-community trade and Extra-community trade to provide overall import values. The report is seasonally adjusted to avoid confusion caused by month to month volatility in sales.



CHF Total Sight Deposits CHF (APR 05)



CHF Domestic Sight Deposits CHF (APR 05)



EUR Euro-Zone Sentix Investor Confidence (APR)



CAD Housing Starts (MAR)

Reflects the rate of growth in housing construction. Housing Starts act as an indicator measuring the strength of Canada's construction sector and housing market. Economists also use the figure as a leading indicator for the economy as a whole due to Housing Starts' sensitivity to changes in the business cycle. Housing Starts slow at the onset of a recession and quickly grow at the beginning of an economic boom; consequently, a high Housing Starts figure forecasts strong economic growth. The headline figure is the percentage change in new home starts.



CAD Building Permits (MoM) (FEB)

The number of new building projects authorized for construction. The figure is widely used as an indicator for developments in the housing market, since receiving a permit to build is the first step in the construction process. Thus growth in Building Permits reflects growth in the construction sector. Also, due to the high outlays needed for construction projects, an increase in Building Permits suggests corporate and consumer optimism. Additionally, because leading indicators for the housing market respond quickly to changes in the business cycle, the Building Permit figure can act as a leading indicator for the economy as a whole. The headline is the seasonally adjusted percentage change in Building Permits from the previous month.



USD Factory Orders (FEB)

Dollar volume of new orders, shipments, unfilled orders and inventories as reported by domestic manufacturers. Factor Orders is not a widely watched economic release. The Advance Release on Durable Goods Activity reported one week earlier tends grab more market attention, given that durable goods make up more than half of factory orders. Factor Orders does provide a comprehensive look at the manufacturing sector. Specifically, the New Orders figure can act as a gauge of demand across industries while Shipments are indicative of supply. The Unfilled Orders and Inventory figures reconcile the balance between New Orders and Shipments; high Shipments are indicative of an excess of demand relative to supply, high Inventories signal an excess of supply over demand. Figures are reported in billions of dollars and also in percent change from the previous month.



USD Factory Orders Ex Trans (FEB)



USD Durable Goods Orders (FEB F)


The value of orders placed for relatively long lasting goods. Durable Goods are expected to last more than three years. Such products often require large investments and usually reflect optimism on the part of the buyer that their expenditure will be worthwhile.

Because orders for goods have large sway over the actual production, this figure serves as an excellent forecast of U.S. output to come. Durable Goods are typically sensitive to economic changes. When consumers become skeptical about economic conditions, sales of durable goods are one of the first to be impacted since consumers can delay purchases of durable items, like cars and televisions, only spending money on necessities in times of economic hardship. Conversely, when consumer confidence is restored, orders for durable goods rebound quickly. The data is highly volatile as well, some volatility is eliminated with the Durable Goods Orders excluding Transportation figure, making it the more closely watched indicator.



USD Durables Ex Transportation (FEB F)



USD Cap Goods Orders Nondef Ex Air (FEB F)



USD Cap Goods Ship Nondef Ex Air (FEB F)



USD U.S. to Sell USD42 Bln 3-Month Bills



USD U.S. to Sell USD36 Bln 6-Month Bills



EUR ECB's Villeroy speaks in Paris