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Today's announcements and data releases, 10/12/2018

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All times in GMT+7, Jakarta, Bangkok

 

 

13:45

CHF Unemployment Rate (NOV)

The percent of unemployed persons in the labor force. The labor force is the aggregate of employed and unemployed persons. The rate is released as both a seasonally adjusted and unadjusted figure. The seasonally adjusted number is a key indictor of Swiss labor market conditions, significant because of its timeliness and overall market impact. High unemployment translates to lower average wages and reduced consumer spending. As consumer spending is the majority of total expenditure, rising unemployment often leads to slow economic growth. In addition, high or rising unemployment puts downward pressure on interest rates and leads to a depreciating Franc

 

13:45

CHF Unemployment Rate s.a. (NOV)

 

14:00

EUR German Trade Balance (OCT)

 

14:00

EUR German Current Account (euros) (OCT)

The German Current Account acts as a gauge for how Germany's economy interacts with the rest of the world. Current account is one of the three components (Financial Account, Capital Account and Current Account) that make up a country's Balance of Payments, the detailed accounting of all international interactions. Where the other side of the Balance of Payments, Capital and Financial Accounts, deals mainly with financial assets and investments, the Current Account gives a detailed breakdown of how the country intermingles with rest of the global economy on a routine, non-investment basis. The Current Account tracks the trade balance (exports and imports for goods and services), income payments (such as interest, dividends and salaries) and unilateral transfers (aid, taxes, and one-way gifts). A positive value (current account surplus) records that the flow of capital from these components into Germany exceeds the capital leaving the country. A negative value (current account deficit) means that there is a net capital outflow from these sources. Since the German economy is by far the largest in the EU, German Current Account has significant weight on the Euro. Persistent Current Account surpluses may lead to a natural appreciation of a currency, as trade, income and transfer payments usually reflect Euros coming into the country (just as underlying deficit act as depreciating weight). There are a number of factors that often work to diminish the impact of the Current Account release on the market. The report is not very timely, released monthly about two weeks after the reporting period. In addition, many of the components that lead to the final Current Account, such as production and trade figures, are known well in advance. Lastly, since the report reflect data for a specific reporting month, any significant developments in the Current Account should plausibly have been already felt during that month and not during the release of data. But due to the significance of German Current Account in tracking foreign exchange developments, the report has a history of moving markets upon release. The headline number is the Current Account balance and the percentage change in the Current Account from the previous month

 

14:00

EUR German Exports s.a. (MoM) (OCT)

Goods and services produced domestically that are sold or awaiting sale outside of Germany . The headline number is the percentage change in the Exports value. The value of Exports is an important input in calculations of the Trade Balance, the Current Account and GDP. Exports are rarely considered in isolation. Rather, they are most often analyzed in comparison to Imports. Generally, excess exports indicate a country's goods are seen as desirable abroad, which signals that this country's currency is relatively weak (cheap) compared to that of its trading partners and may appreciate in the future due to robust demand

 

14:00

EUR German Imports s.a. (MoM) (OCT)

Represents German domestic demand for foreign goods. The headline number is the percentage change in the value of imports. The value of imports is an important input in calculations of the Trade Balance, the Current Account and GDP. Imports are rarely considered in isolation. Rather, they are most often analyzed in comparison to Exports. German imports (and exports) are separated by intra-community trade and extra-community trade. Intra-community trade covers trade within the EU member countries while Extra-community trade covers trades with the rest of the world. A strong demand for imports from the Extra-community could lead to a trade deficit that could result in a drop in the currency's value. Note: The import report aggregates the Intra-community trade and Extra-community trade to provide overall import values. The report is seasonally adjusted to avoid confusion caused by month to month volatility in sales

 

16:00

CHF Total Sight Deposits CHF (DEC 7)

 

16:00

CHF Domestic Sight Deposits CHF (DEC 7)

 

16:30

GBP Trade Balance (OCT)

 

16:30

GBP Visible Trade Balance (Pounds) (OCT)

The difference between imports and exports of goods. Visible Trade differentiates itself from Trade Balance because it does not record intangibles like services, only reporting on physical goods. Because Britain's economy is highly trade driven, Visible Trade data can give critical insight into developments in the economy and into foreign exchange rates. Negative Visible Trade (deficit) indicates that imports of goods are greater than exports. When exports are greater than imports, the UK experiences a trade surplus. Trade surpluses indicate that funds are coming into the UK in exchange for exported goods. Because such exported goods are usually purchased with Pounds, trade surpluses usually reflect currency flowing into Britain, such currency inflows may lead to a natural appreciation of Pound Sterling, unless countered by similar capital outflows. At a bare minimum, surpluses will buoy the value of the currency. There are a number of factors that work to diminish the market impact of UK Visible Trade on markets. The report is not very timely, released monthly about forty days after the reporting period. Developments in many of the components that comprise the figure are also usually well anticipated. Lastly, since the report reflect data for a specific reporting month, any significant changes in Visible Trade should plausibly have been already felt during that quarter and not during the release of data. But because of the overall significance of Trade on Foreign Exchange Rates, the figure has a history of being one of the more important reports out of the UK. The headline figure is expressed as the value of the merchandise trade surplus or deficit in billions of Pounds

 

16:30

GBP Trade Balance Non EU GBP/Mn (OCT)

 

16:30

GBP Industrial Production (MoM) (OCT)

A measure of the manufacturing output of the energy sector, factories, and mines. Industrial production is significant as a short term indicator of the strength of UK industrial activity. Industry accounts for about a quarter of overall GDP. Because industrial production accounts for most of the volatility in GDP, foreknowledge of trends in manufacturing go a long way in forecasting UK output. High or rising Industrial Production figures suggest increased production and economic expansion, healthy for the Pound. However, uncontrolled levels of production and consumption can spark inflation. In times of inflation the Bank of England may raise interest rates to control growth

 

16:30

GBP Industrial Production (YoY) (OCT)

 

16:30

GBP Manufacturing Production (MoM) (OCT)

 

16:30

GBP Manufacturing Production (YoY) (OCT)

 

16:30

GBP Construction Output SA (MoM) (OCT)

 

16:30

GBP Construction Output SA (YoY) (OCT)

 

16:30

EUR Euro-Zone Sentix Investor Confidence (DEC)

 

16:30

GBP Gross Domestic Product (MoM) (OCT)

 

16:30

GBP Monthly GDP 3M/3M Change (OCT)

 

16:30

GBP Index of Services (MoM) (OCT)

 

16:30

GBP Index of Services (3Mo3M) (OCT)

 

20:15

CAD Housing Starts (NOV)

Reflects the rate of growth in housing construction. Housing Starts act as an indicator measuring the strength of Canada's construction sector and housing market. Economists also use the figure as a leading indicator for the economy as a whole due to Housing Starts' sensitivity to changes in the business cycle. Housing Starts slow at the onset of a recession and quickly grow at the beginning of an economic boom; consequently, a high Housing Starts figure forecasts strong economic growth. The headline figure is the percentage change in new home starts

 

20:30

CAD Building Permits (MoM) (OCT)

The number of new building projects authorized for construction. The figure is widely used as an indicator for developments in the housing market, since receiving a permit to build is the first step in the construction process. Thus growth in Building Permits reflects growth in the construction sector. Also, due to the high outlays needed for construction projects, an increase in Building Permits suggests corporate and consumer optimism. Additionally, because leading indicators for the housing market respond quickly to changes in the business cycle, the Building Permit figure can act as a leading indicator for the economy as a whole. The headline is the seasonally adjusted percentage change in Building Permits from the previous month

 

22:00

USD JOLTS Job Openings (OCT)

 

23:30

USD U.S. to Sell USD39 Bln 3-Month Bills

 

23:30

USD U.S. to Sell USD36 Bln 6-Month Bills